Carlos Artiles
The 2026 Economic Paradox: Energy Shock, Tight Money, and the AI Breakpoint
This could be the most consequential macroeconomic collision of 2026. Record diesel prices are tightening the physical economy. Central banks are keeping the...
Oil Retreats Despite Renewed Middle East Tensions, as Markets Choose to Price Thursday's Trump-Xi Summit Instead
Futures are rising to open a week headlined by Thursday's Trump-Xi meeting, with S&P 500 futures up about 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures up roughly 0.7%, and Dow...
The BOJ Hikes Too, Buffett Steps Down, and Trump Softens His Fed Complaint: A Landmark Week Closes
The Bank of Japan raised rates 25 basis points to 1.25% early this morning, treated by markets as close to a formality, with Governor Ueda's tone the real...
The Fed Decides Today: 92% Odds of the First Hike Since 2023, and the 10-Year Just Crossed 5%
The Federal Open Market Committee concludes its two-day meeting this afternoon, with rate futures pricing a 92% probability of a quarter-point hike to 3.75% to...
Three AI CEOs Just Called for a Slowdown, Trump Said No, and Chip Stocks Are Tumbling Into FOMC Week
Anthropic's Dario Amodei, OpenAI's Sam Altman, and xAI's Elon Musk publicly backed calls to slow AI development over the weekend, following a researcher's...
AI Panic, 5% Treasury Yields, and the Global Liquidity Risk Building This Week
This week could expose the fragility underneath the market’s biggest narratives. At the surface, the headlines look disconnected: Silicon Valley leaders are...
Oracle's Clean Beat and Iran-Oman Talks Snap a Four-Day Losing Streak, but CPI Is the Real Test Today
Futures are bouncing after the S&P, Dow, and Nasdaq all closed lower for a fourth straight day Thursday, the S&P's longest losing streak since early March,...